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Five-day forecast for Tropical Storm Felicia

Five-day forecast for Tropical Storm Felicia

As expected, Hurricane Felicia has been downgraded to a tropical storm. Due to enter Hawaiian waters sometime Monday night, her winds have weakened to 60 knots. She’s also being torn apart by wind shear:

HURRICANE FELICIA HAS SUFFERED SEVERE PROBLEMS WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE LATEST UW/CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES VALUES OF 257 DEG/21 KT. THE LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND HURRICANE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
DATA SHOW THE NEGATIVE AFFECTS OF THIS SHEAR.

As Felicia crossed over the 140W meridian, she is now tracked by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, where you can follow the updates.

Satellite imagery of Tropical Storm Felicia

Satellite imagery of Tropical Storm Felicia

§1133 · August 9, 2009 · Hawaii, Weather · Comments Off · Tags:


Five-day forecast for Hurricane Felicia

Five-day forecast for Hurricane Felicia

It’s about five days out, but Hurricane Felicia is coming to Hawaii. As of right now (5 August 2009, afternoon) it’s a Category 3 hurricane, making it the strongest of the 2009 Pacific hurricane season to date.

Forecasts have it weakening to a tropical depression by the time it gets close to Hawaii, though.

For you worriers in the crowd, yes, we’re stocking up on supplies just in case.

Those interested can follow the updates at the National Hurricane Center.

Satellite imagery of Hurricane Felicia

Satellite imagery of Hurricane Felicia

§1128 · August 5, 2009 · Hawaii, Weather · 1 comment · Tags:


News from the University of Hawaii Institute for Astronomy:

After careful evaluation and comparison between two outstanding candidate sites, Mauna Kea in Hawai’i and Cerro Armazones in Chile, the
board of directors of the TMT Observatory Corporation has selected Mauna Kea as the preferred site for the Thirty Meter Telescope!

You can read more at the TMT press release.

§1110 · July 21, 2009 · Astronomy, Hawaii · Comments Off · Tags: ,


From Australia comes the story of two parents convicted of manslaughter for killing their daughter. How? They “treated” her eczema with homeopathic remedies instead of conventional medicine.

This is an extremely sad and disturbing case. Gloria Thomas, nine months old, suffered from eczema, a skin condition that is treatable with medical creams. Instead, her parents decided to treat her with homeopathic remedies, even skipping a scheduled visit to a dermatologist so they could fly to India. Her body required more nutrition than her mother’s milk could provide because it was busy trying to fight off the infection.

By the time she died, she was the weight of an average three-month-old, her body was covered with angry blotches and her once black hair had turned completely white.

Nine days after returning from India, where the father’s brother “prescribed” homeopathic remedies, they took her to the hospital:

Nine days after they returned from India, Thomas and Manju Sam finally took Gloria to hospital for an eye infection they thought was conjunctivitis, and she was immediately rushed into emergency to be treated by a team of medical experts. It turned out her cornea was melting.

Dr Susannah Cunningham, who was then a pediatric emergency registrar, said Gloria was among only a handful of children whose cases she had been unable to forget.

“I think it’s the pain that has made this case stand out for me in my memory,” Dr Cunningham said.

“I can vividly recall where she was in the emergency department. I remember the 6½ hours I was involved very clearly. She was in a lot of pain and had been suffering and that’s something that doesn’t sit well with any pediatrician.”

She eventually died in hospital of sepsis which had caused bleeding in her lungs and airways.

When anyone asks “what’s the harm in homeopathy?” remember Gloria Thomas. Remember the suffering she went through for half of her short life because of homeopathy. Imagine the little girl screaming in pain for hours and hours because of homeopathy. Remember her death because of homeopathy.

Homeopathy kills.

§1042 · June 10, 2009 · Medicine & Health, Skepticism · 6 comments · Tags: ,


So the Pope is touring around in Africa. While in Cameroon he said

HIV/Aids is a tragedy that cannot be overcome through the distribution of condoms, which can even increase the problem.

It is not at all surprising that this patent nonsense would come out of the mouth of a man who purports to talk to an invisible sky man. It is not at all surprising that he gets it completely wrong – the Centers for Disease Control say that

Latex condoms, when used consistently and correctly, are highly effective in preventing the sexual transmission of HIV, the virus that causes AIDS.

The life expectancy in Botswana between 1990 and 1995 was 65 years. Between 2000 and 2005 it’s dropped to 40 years. Twenty two million people in Sub-Saharan Africa had HIV/AIDS in 2007, and there were nearly two million new cases of HIV infection in 2007. A quarter of the population of Botswana, Lesotho, and Swaziland have HIV/AIDS. 39,000 people died of AIDS in Cameroon in 2007. 1.5 million people died in 2007 in Sub-Saharan Africa.

And the Pope continues to spread falsehoods while Africans die? Fuck you Pope Benedict. Fuck you.

§975 · March 18, 2009 · Medicine & Health, Religion · 8 comments · Tags: , , ,


Tonight NASA launched a Delta II rocket with the Kepler Telescope atop it.

Kepler’s mission is to observe 100,000 stars constantly for three and a half years. It’s doing this to watch for dips in brightness caused by a planet passing in front of the star. By observing so many stars for so long, it’s expected that Kepler will about fifty Earth-sized planets with an orbit of about a year in length!



David Attenborough talks about evolution and the tree of life on Earth. It’s a bit simplistic and focuses mostly on animal life, but how can you go wrong with David Attenborough?

§949 · February 27, 2009 · Evolution, Friday Science Video, Weekly Science Video · Comments Off · Tags:


Today Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal delivered the Republican response to President Barack Obama‘s speech to Congress. In it he poked at the recently-passed stimulus package which contains, in his words,

$140 million for something called “volcano monitoring.”

Never mind that the $140 million is actually for more than volcano monitoring, I’d just like to say that as someone who lives on an active volcano, Bobby Jindal can go fuck himself.

I want the USGS to monitor volcanoes. I want them to give warnings when a volcano is going to erupt. I want them to monitor gas output. I want them to monitor earthquakes.

I’ll bet I’m not alone. I’m sure people in Washington would like to know if Mount Baker, Glacier Peak, Mount Adams, Mount Rainier, or Mount St. Helens are going to erupt. I’m sure people in Oregon would like to know if Mount Hood, Mount Jefferson, Three Sisters, Newberry Volcano, and Crater Lake are going to erupt. I’m sure people in Northern California would like to know if Medicine Lake volcano, Mount Shasta, and Lassen Peak are going to erupt. I’m sure people in Alaska would like to know if any number of volcanoes are going to erupt, particularly Mount Redoubt. I’m sure people in Hawaii would like to know if Mauna Loa is going to erupt. I’m sure people in Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho would like to know if Yellowstone is going to erupt.

Besides, it’s not just for volcano monitoring! One of the other things this money’s going towards is replacement and upgrades of stream gages. It might be nice knowing if a stream or river is rising. Useful to know if you need to prepare for flooding.

And he shrugs it off. “Volcano monitoring.” Pfft. Who needs to look at volcanoes?

Fuck you Bobby Jindal.

§944 · February 24, 2009 · Geology, United States · 6 comments · Tags: , , ,


News came out at the beginning of February that researchers had found a new form of super-hard boron when the element is compressed by extremely high pressures. This is the fourth known stable form of boron.

If you read down to the bottom of that article you’ll find that the author originally got it wrong and reported that there were three stable forms of boron.

Conan O’Brien called him on it.

§918 · February 13, 2009 · Chemistry, Friday Science Video, Weekly Science Video · 1 comment · Tags: ,


Today is, of course, the 200th anniversary of the birth of Charles Darwin. Along with the interesting and informative stories at that page comes The Evolution of Life in 60 Seconds:

When you compress 4.6 billion years into 60 seconds, it’s not only obvious how much time evolution has had to work, but obvious how short our time on Earth has been.

§904 · February 12, 2009 · Evolution · Comments Off · Tags: , ,